Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.008860 0.010515 0.012526 0.015193 0.018708 0.023284 0.029876
2025-04-27 0.006913 0.008899 0.011620 0.015775 0.022279 0.032712 0.052346
2025-05-04 0.005728 0.007750 0.010735 0.015746 0.024626 0.041424 0.081641
2025-05-11 0.004949 0.006947 0.010065 0.015700 0.026771 0.051044 0.125142
2025-05-18 0.004314 0.006218 0.009317 0.015245 0.027889 0.059348 0.180731
2025-05-25 0.003769 0.005537 0.008505 0.014426 0.027887 0.065031 0.242590
2025-06-01 0.003370 0.005036 0.007909 0.013867 0.028251 0.072222 0.338646
2025-06-08 0.003160 0.004820 0.007781 0.014225 0.031043 0.090227 0.613796
2025-06-15 0.002919 0.004520 0.007445 0.014046 0.032343 0.104634 1.033753
2025-06-22 0.002646 0.004135 0.006893 0.013254 0.031550 0.109442 1.436377
2025-06-29 0.002501 0.003962 0.006732 0.013352 0.033598 0.131760 3.186493
2025-07-06 0.002408 0.003875 0.006733 0.013844 0.037261 0.171548 13.350196
2025-07-13 0.002328 0.003821 0.006825 0.014702 0.043319 0.253420 6009.228215
2025-07-20 0.002226 0.003714 0.006794 0.015250 0.048871 0.367772 NaN
2025-07-27 0.002096 0.003538 0.006582 0.015221 0.051970 0.483884 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001980 0.003378 0.006383 0.015178 0.055111 0.645755 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001854 0.003185 0.006082 0.014743 0.055900 0.782742 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001722 0.002968 0.005700 0.013961 0.054208 0.842571 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001615 0.002797 0.005410 0.013426 0.053768 0.964746 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001562 0.002736 0.005380 0.013769 0.059375 1.568727 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001489 0.002626 0.005214 0.013598 0.061444 2.155786 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001395 0.002463 0.004903 0.012839 0.058642 2.207108 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001347 0.002397 0.004827 0.012934 0.062655 3.620063 NaN